46 Knot Notherly forecast for the 29th of Jan!

> 10 years ago
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Palaeosea
Palaeosea
WA
21 posts
WA, 21 posts
23 Jan 2011 10:25am


hardie
hardie
WA
4133 posts
WA, 4133 posts
23 Jan 2011 11:14am
Its a volatile dynamic system and will change from forecast to forecast
Mark _australia
Mark _australia
WA
23647 posts
WA, 23647 posts
23 Jan 2011 6:00pm
Agreed Hards

This morning SB showed the screaming northerly for Fri arvo

Now it has westerly Fri arvo and southerly on Sat.

Other ones have conventional easterly on Wed - Thurs and then seabreezes for weekend as trough moves inland (bit more believable)

I think the computer generated forecasts have chucked a wobbly and I won't believe anything until the day before

saltiest1
saltiest1
NSW
2568 posts
NSW, 2568 posts
24 Jan 2011 10:40am
id like to see a forecast of winds from 2 directions at once from a computer forecast one day, or vertical wpuld be interesting.
Palaeosea
Palaeosea
WA
21 posts
WA, 21 posts
24 Jan 2011 2:25pm
After Mark and Hardies comments I have been checking the updated model every 12 hours or so, and every 12 hours see a considerable shift in forecast! I will post the wind guru screenshot for this Saturday just to see how far out the model ultimately is.

Is having a 7 day forecast a pointless exercise, how many days out can these models accurately predict and does it depend seasonal synoptic situation??

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