I've managed to break 2 in my short w/surfing career, a 60% and a 90% and all at that same location, which is generally about where the nose of the board comes into contact with the mast after a bad spill.
Both gave me no notice, so if you've spoted a crack, chances are the next sail you have, or maybe the one after, you'll be cruising along, then, 'CRACK'....flat on your back!

I'd recommend to read up about how to rig a broken mast in the water (I did the second time, sailing by myself, took about 30mins, 1km offshore, and sailed in OK, actually nearly got planing!)
If you find out who stocks mast bottom sections, let me know, I have 2 perfectly good tops. BTW, carbon splinters aren't nice on the hands!