On the 24th November Waimea Bay broke at 18 to 20 feet. It's rare for Waimea to break at that size so early in the Hawai'an surf season, but then many informed pundits say it's likely that this will be an exceptional season.
All eyes are now on a large NW groundswell that's due to arrive Monday afternoon Hawai'i time (Tuesday our time). This swell is expected to be generated over the next few days as an intense low pressure system forms to the east of Japan before growing in size and strength as it moves closer to Hawai'i. At the peak of the storm, winds are predicted to reach the Hurricane force range (64kts+) resulting in the development of a large and long period swell in the centre of Hawai'i's swell window.
Current model estimates have the main component of the swell arriving on O'ahu's North Shore at around 7m / 17 seconds.
The 2009/2010 Eddie Aikau Big Wave Invitational opening ceremony is being held tomorrow, and if the above predictions hold true, wave heights could reach 20-25ft early next week. As of today the organisers have given the competition a 70% chance of running. The organisers of the Mavericks contest are also keeping an eagle eye on this swell as there is a good chance that the mainland will also experience very large waves.
Swellnet will keep you informed should either competition be given the green light. //CRAIG BROKENSHA
How mads the traffic. Heard pipe is closing out, havent had the right swell to clear the sand from the reef. Bad timing but looking at the pics that should be cleared out very soon. Great snaps